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the president will carry nevada. some republicans push back but let's give nevada to the president. hypothetical here, folks. that would put the president at 243 to 206. you need 270 to win. let's see if romney can find the magic to get to 270. the state of iowa, the president will end there. that's his final rally. the president with a lead there. it's small. the romney campaign says it's still in play but the president has consistently led by a small margin. you will see more and more of that across the midwest. you mentioned governor romney going to cleveland tomorrow. let's look at the latest polling in ohio. no republican ever won the white house without it. mathematically can he get there without it, yes. is it probable, no. here's the latest poll of polls. cnn putting together the average of seven public polls, 50-47. so a very competitive race but again, the president has consistently been ahead by a couple in ohio. governor romney needs to win on the ground and win big on the ground tomorrow to carry that state. in a close election like this, sometimes the little guys matter. new hampsh

of the hour we'll take you to nevada and wisconsin. first, back to sole dad. >>> at the end of the day, it's all going to be about the math. in order to win, you have to hit the magic number of 270 electoral votes. let's get to christine romans who is crunching the numbers. >> the rose to 270. what if it were a draw at 269? it's possible. there are four 269 scenarios. statistically, there are 120 different scenarios. four with the swing states. this is hypothetical, remember. the map is assuming that states that are actually leaning go in the direction that they're leaning right now. wisconsin, ohio, and new hampshire, new hampshire with the four electoral votes, if they go for obama and romney wins nevada, colorado, iowa, virginia, and the 29 over there in florida, then you're at a tie. worst nightmare for both parties. 269 each. now a note for iowa here, this is assuming it goes red, it goes for romney with the six electoral votes. recent polls there showing a slight lead, actually, for obama. if wisconsin and ohio vote democrat, you know, technically you could think -- you could conclud

marquez is in las vegas, nevada. ed lavandera is in denver, colorado, for us this morning. john zarrella comes to us live from plantation, florida. we want to begin with complete comprehensive coverage with john berman checking in to see how our correspondents are faring. >> thanks, soledad. the candidates are all over the place today. president obama and mitt romney hold atriallies in seven states today. a final frenetic day of campaigning across the battleground. for the president, he begins in wisconsin, a state that has voted true blue since 1984 but it is almost always close. and with paul ryan a native wisconsin son on the republican ticket, the obama team is taking no chances. they've called in the cavalry to help, including the boss, bruce springsteen to seal the deal. dan lothian is live in madison, wisconsin. good morning, dan. >> good morning, and you're right, bruce springsteen will be warming up the crowd here with a 30-minute concert before the president comes out. the campaign has been using these big names not only to draw in big audiences, but also to energize them. i ca

: in the senate races, we are in michigan, wisconsin, nevada, the governor's race in new hampshire. we do 75 congressional races. we started off with 53 incumbents going into this election. we do some polling for the romney campaign. host: what is happening for the wisconsin senate race? guest: i did some polling for scott walker. we have it right in terms of polling as opposed to what you are seeing in the public polling. we have a net edge presidentially and in the senate race going for tom thompson in that senate race. what we are seeing there we are seeing in all of the campaigns. we have closed the gaps that democrats have in those states. guest: we see a much more partisan atmosphere than in 2008. the democrat in wisconsin has a slight lead. that will be a close race on election day. wisconsin is a little bit closer than it has been before. in the end, obama wins that state by two or three points. host: i want to put on the screen what is happening in colorado, alabama, north carolina. the number of votes cast as of yesterday. in colorado, 1.5 million votes cast. 35% for democrats, 37%

in nevada, 70s and 80s, colorado with 60s and sun shine here. maybe rain, eastern iowa, wintry mix, northern wisconsin, 40s and 50s. cold in new hampshire, but dry and sunny. virginia may be not too bad. back into florida, jacksonville and orlando could be looking at showers and storms. the rest of the state won't be an issue. today 25 to 35. chilly tomorrow around 50. nor'easter wednesday 5. potential wintry mix wednesday night. let's go to man cay at 5:17. timesaver traffic. >> thank you, howard. if you are planning to head over to the beltway, overall generally things are looking good. you see that red forming there, that is because of a deer struck right before you get to route 202 right after the split here along the left side of the roadway. already slowing things down. keep that in mind, although it is against the rush hour. let's take a live look over in oxen hill on the beltway, traffic moving well here, if you are heading to the wilson bridge, it looks pretty much like this as well. back over to our maps, 270 southbound, closer in, rockville, bethesda. over to the beltway and the a

florida, virginia, colorado, and wisconsin next. but first first the battle for nevada. polls show president obama has anage there. while the romney camp still says the state is in play. dan springer live in las vegas tonight. dan? >> that's right, shep. but even a conservative columnist here says nevada is leaning obama and governor romney is down to his final strike early voting heavily favored the president. 48,000 more democrats voted over the two week period than republicans. that is a big hill to climb on tuesday. especially when you consider it's estimated 70% of all the voters have been cast. republicans know they need a big turn out in the rural parts of the state and a decisive win among independence. not impossible but about as likely, perhaps, as pulling an inside straight that is the latest from nevada. we'll have more coming up from other battleground states on "the fox report." , suspension and agility. the only trail capable side-by sides, featuring the ultimate value, r 570. the only 4-passenge sport machines, led by the all-new rzr xp 4 and the undisputed king of

like a good deal of sunshine. now in the battleground states on election day, nevada into colorado look at that nice sunshine there. 83 vegas, 16 in denver. western iowa looks fine. in dubuque looks wet and chilly. around 40 ohio. no excuses there for voting. same in new hampshire. it will be cold in 30s and 40s, wilmington and asheville and even charlotte may be looking at rain before the day is over. in western florida the weather looks good, jacksonville down to orlando. wet showers and thunderstorms on election day. 52 today, tonight 20s and 30s. tomorrow around 30 on election day. wednesday nor'easter, 45. there is potential, not saying it is set in stone, but want you to be aware that late wednesday night we may get wintry weather we'll have to deal with. look at this, we are going to warm up nicely. we should be back well into the 60s. the heart walk saturday morning, looking forward to that. monika, time save traffic? >>> traffic moving really well this morning. traffic is good on the beltway, we are going to zoom in on the northbound side from triangle all lanes are open. in fa

before we start to see results out west, but beyond nevada which we don't think is much of a toss-up as we once thought it was, the romney folks don't feel that great about nevada, so most of the action is on the east coast and in the midwest. of the states that have been called, it's been a good night for barack obama. he won pennsylvania, looks like he's going to win michigan. he won wisconsin huge. i think the one we've not talked enough about is new hampshire. the ap has called new hampshire for barack obama. that was a state that mitt romney thought he had a really good chance of winning, neighbors, massachusetts -- >> [inaudible] >> does he have a house there? >> i think so. >> talk about new hampshire. >> just looking at the exit polls, just unpacking them a little bit, and people are going to be looking at whether mitt romney really had the momentum that he seemed to or that they claimed. you're going to hear republicans say you heard former governor haley barbour over the weekend saying the storm had really blunted his momentum. if the president's handling of the storm wa

for democrats. virginia, montana are important if the democrats could pick off arizona or nevada. but things have been breaking for the democrats the past couple of weeks, i think. >> brown: you haven't had a chance to talk about missouri. >> missouri is a very interesting state where democrats hadn't been earning more than 50% of the votes even when winning because there were other factors. and and there is a third party candidate helping her a little bit. one interesting thing about deb fisher, it's the first time nebraska is sending a woman to the senate. and in new hampshire, the associated press called the democratic governor won there. she will be the only female democratic governor in the country next year because she's won. >> yes. >> brown: is that something you didn't know? did we stump you? >> there is a sitting woman democratic governor right now, but she chose not to seek reelection in north carolina. >> right, so in 2013. >> brown: and back to you, glen and judy. >> ifill: we find it very interesting to see how all this is shaking out partly because we see what's happening on t

they went to nevada, colorado, iowa, wisconsin, ohio, virginia and new hampshire and these are the ones who have been the surrogates with mrs. obama, no, my husband is not a cold fish. we have dinner every night with the kids. you should know him. you should see that smile. i love him. you should love him. mrs. romney who is very close to her husband in the strategy, she plays a bigger role than just being the wife of, she is the one who said, he is not a stiff man. look at us. and, by the way, you talked about the grandchildren. there are 18 grandchildren. 13 of them are boys. >> all right. let us put that to the decision desk and see what that means. okay, barbara, stand by, team. we know you have so much more you're eager to say and we'll take a break at election night headquarters 2012 reporting on one of the great nights in democracy, one of the great privileges it is to vote as the polls still are open and a lot of this country projections come in and we have more, of course, to report on what social media is saying when we come back. >> announcer: multitouchscenes courtesy of microso

seats in play, and when we get out west, california, washington, nevada, something good could happen for them. but it's going to be hard for the democrats to take over the house. >> brown: there a particular one or two you want to keep your eye on especially tonight? >> a lot of the demographic data we're looking at democrats have area where's they can gain, perhaps later on down the line, arizona, texas, as sturks mentioned, florida is another one, where the democrats are look at making long-lasting gains. they're making new seats. california is another one we will be watching. what is the bigger picture when it comes to the type of members of congress? are these people extreme on one part or the other? the way the lines are drawn that can happen. if you draw a district with extreme democrat or republican, you can end up with extremes in congress. >> woodruff: mark, you were telling me you were off the set talking to somebody, picking up some information about how the vote is coming in. >> the turnout right now is that what tino voters are voting at the levels that the obama people

in nevada and i look for victories in other states as well. >> thank you, we appreciate it. we'll be watching here all day tomorrow. and from -- >> i know you will. >> we will. from provisional ballots to one of the most famous swing counties in the u.s., we're talking battleground ohio. don lemon is there. he'll join me live from cincinnati with a sign that the political landscape there is changing yet again. but first, on the eve of election day, take a look at this, seems investors claimed the waiting game. the dow pretty flat at this hour. hour and a half away from the closing bell. you're watching "cnn newsroom." tdd#: 1-800-345-2550 when i'm trading, i'm so into it, tdd#: 1-800-345-2550 hours can go by before i realize tdd#: 1-800-345-2550 that i haven't even looked away from my screen. tdd#: 1-800-345-2550 tdd#: 1-800-345-2550 that kind of focus... tdd#: 1-800-345-2550 that's what i have when i trade. tdd#: 1-800-345-2550 tdd#: 1-800-345-2550 and the streetsmart edge trading platform from charles schwab... tdd#: 1-800-345-2550 ...helps me keep an eye on what's really imp

in the early vote in several of them, including ohio, iowa, nevada, we've got a lead in colorado. we feel very good about where we are. >> david axelrod joining us this morning. thanks for being with us. we appreciate your time. >> thank you. >> you want to be sure to watch the rest of our cnn election team tonight when the first polls close at 6:00 p.m. eastern. you can follow the exact countdown in the lower left-hand side of your screen and as the clock ticks for those closing. there are other stories making news this morning. zoraida's got that for you. >> good morning. another key race to watch today former presidential candidate michele bachmann in the toughest battle of her political life. minnesota congresswoman is in a tight race with democratic challenger jim graves. in their final debate, bachmann defended her claims that muslim brotherhood operatives have infiltrated the federal government. >>> and a sign today that the northeast is slowly recovering from superstorm sandy. the national september 11th memorial at the world trade center site in new york city reopened today. it was cl

. >> that's plan c. wisconsin and iowa, colorado, new hampshire and nevada were plan b. >> one of them is gone. let's talk about florida. because you guys have been numbers crunching like crazy. it's interesting to comparing them to what they were four years ago. what is your sense, karl? identified that miami-dade and broward counties and palm beach the democratic strongholds in the south. obama is doing better in those. he is doing a little less than big urban centers of the i4 corridor. tampa saint peter and orlando and less well in the urban counties in the i4 corridors and worse in the southwest corner of the state and up in the north. the real one is the panhandle where he is running further behind where he did four years ago. walton county got 26% of the vote. now 23.7% of the vote. romney is getting 3 1/2 points better than -- but this race right now is settled. million people having voted is 2000 votes apart. i think at the end of the day it's about-- in--t me brin >> this has been going back and forth. the interesting thing is in the counties where obama is doing a s doing or

new hampshire, pennsylvania, wisconsin, iowa, colorado, nevada, any of those. >> five. >> in the 3-2-1 strategy be virginia is one of the three. if you don't win virginia, how much of a problem? >> they're blocked. that is the strategy -- a lot of the electoral strategy was to block romney in the 3-2-1. can they block him in ohio and win that? can they block him in virginia? if they win virginia or ohio, either one, starts to make it tough. unless some other -- you start to change the strategy. >> quickly, virginia must-win for romney? >> it would be great to win it. historically republican. the opposite strategy is not only focus on 3-2-1 but keep broadening the battlefield. wisconsin, pennsylvania, iowa, colorado, nevada, new hampshire, minnesota. states that come in to play at one time or another. and so you would never want to be only have, one group of states you want as many alternatives as possible. insurance policies if you will. >> so, space cowboys you can stand down for a moment and crumple numbers. calling your sources. bret, it's 3-2-1 or it isn't. >> bret: there you g

vote more than once. this is roxene reuben trying to vote twice. nevada woman cast a ballot on monday and tried to vote at another location later in the day. a worker turned her away after a routine check showed she had already voted. she has been charged with a felony. >> steve: maybe she forgot. meanwhile in massachusetts, a town they are using the word illegal is now illegal. the word was banned in the town of summerville when describing immigrants. the mayor outlawed the illegal word after a group of teenagers argued it was a hurtful term. instead the group wants the term to be used undocumented. the mayor says he wants summerville to be a city of hope for undocumented immigrants and legal immigrants around the world. >> brian: spanish passenger kicked off of her flight because of a book. airlines booted her off because she was breaking one piece of hand luggage rule. the book and scroll she was carrying couldn't fit in her bag. she claimed her credit card wasn't working so she couldn't pay the excess baggage fee. they defend their actions. >> steve: a book counts as one of the pi

? >> yes-- >> ohio, yes, a must-win, if romney didn't win ohio if he takes wisconsin, nevada, iowa, wisconsin new hampshire, a chance he could win pennsylvania and virginia. >> yes. >> uma: that's going to have to be the last word unfortunately we're out of time and appreciate you joining us and always great to see both of you. >> great to see you, too. >> thank you. >> uma: new hampshire, iowa and colorado all in one day. waiting to see from mitt romney in iowa and where we find campaign carl cameron, hi, carl. >> reporter: hi, uma, the theme music for the candidate's entrance has begun and mitt romney takes the podium in dubuque, iowa, a key state before the polls close on the east coast. we'll bring you mitt romney in just a minute. [ male announcer ] hunt...farm... or trail... polaris has what you want. legendary atvs led by the powerful sportsman 850 ho. value-minded side-by-sides featuring the new ranger 800 midsize. and full-size workhorses including the all-new, class-leading, 60-horsepower, ranger xp 900. polaris. hardest working, smoothest riding. get huge rebates on 201

in nevada and colorado. western iowa looking at some showers now in sioux city, a wintery mix in wausau, but it won't stick. temperatures upper 30s to low 40s. ohio looks sunny, new hampshire looks sunny, although a couple of cloud and cold up north. we've got maybe some showers into asheville and wilmington, and in florida, well, western florida looks good, south florida looks good, but central and north florida, could be talking some showers and storms. around here today, our high temperature will be near 50. it'll be chilly. tonight back into the 30s. mid-40s tomorrow, a glancing blow from the nor'easter, so just a few rain and snow showers, especially east of town, not expecting too much problems, breezy. sun returns thursday, 53. by friday 58, and look at your weekend, we got the heart walk saturday morning, 66, and maybe 70 on sunday. monica. >> loving that sunny forecast. can't wait for that. >>> and i don't think -- and you can wait for this, i'm sorry. there is an accident, if you're planning to head south in manassas, south of i-66, the accident blocks balls ford road at the

states have dropped off. most recently, we moved to nevada off of the in-playlist on to the leaning democratic list as it becomes clear are the polls and the early voting statistics that president obama was filling out a pretty strong lead in that state. host: so as this map comes together, what tatestate does the los angeles uses to determine? -- los angeles times uses to determine? guest: we use a mixture of things. early in the process, you are relying on republican polls. as the process goes along, two other things factor into it. one is the reporting that our political staff does. we've had reporters in all of the battleground states as the campaign goes along and traveling what both of the presidential and vice presidential candidates. so we get a lot of information from our reporters and that's -- that factors into the map and once early voting gets started, we've been tracking the early vote and that was particularly important in nevada. it was also important in north north carolina. for a while, we have moved north carolina off of our battleground list because it seemed lik

of the night about colorado, iowa, some of the states in the west like nevada, perhaps. i think we will have a pretty good idea about what is happening early in the night and from there we will see whether the western states actually matter or not. >> i think that va is a very telling state. we focus on va a lot because it is right next door to washington, d.c. but the demographics are very similar to the rest of america. heavily democratic an urban area, nerve -- northern virginia, a very conservative, rural, southern virginia. the race and the demographics is similar to the country at large. the growing hispanic population. also a significant african- american population. if you want to look at a state that is very much epitomizes what the rest of the country is like, i think you look at a state like virginia which right now is pulling very close. if people want a good idea about which way things are headed, i think they should look at the results in virginia. >> any surprises? >> in the presidential race or anything? i think people need to keep an eye on pennsylvania right now. i have bee

votes he needs. all that leaves is nevada, colorado or iowa. the president ahead or tied in all three of the states. >> that's the situation that mitt romney is in. he's got a very narrow path to an electoral college victory. he has to draw an inside straight in this campaign to win it today. he has to do all those things and the path is still narrow to win this. >> matthew dowd, we'll see you tonight. >>> and this year, whether it's tweeting, facebooking or never mind e-mailing, social media has shaped this campaign like never before. it's a new frontier for both candidates. and voters and campaigns are able to reach each other through the click of a house. josh is at the big board with what everybody is searching for. and what the final campaigns want to leave us with. >> google searches usually give us a less-varnished look of what people are hunting for before they vote today. they're telling pollsters or their family and friends. let's look at the most searched-for election-related trends on google. not surprisingly, the first, where do i vote? latest polls, perhaps. early voting

states. colorado and wisconsin. then at 10:00, the last of the swing states close. iowa and nevada. that's a little indication of how the evening could play out. so you might want to put a pot of coffee on for sure. could be staying up until tomorrow night. we may not go to sleep. >> you are very possibly right. thank you. appreciate it. >> we should say the broadcast does begin a little earlier tomorrow morning. >> 4:00 a.m. >> can't wait. >> in case you have to go to sleep. >> who knows? after 2,000, anything goes. there's a live shot. clear skies across the area but it is cold this morning. temperatures falling back into the 20s for most of the region and here in town, low to mid 30s. 34 at regan national. going to be a cool afternoon. even with the bright sunshine yesterday we only got to 50. we'll fall short of that today. mid to upper 40s for daytime highs. you can see up and down the even sea board here. 33 new york city. hundreds of thousands without power to the north and east and very cold temperatures. chicago 30. richmond, 29. freezing temperatures here to start your day. le

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